Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.