Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Oviedo
44.2% ( 0.02)	29.74% ( -0.08)	26.06% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.72% (

0.23)

66.27% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.22% (

0.16)

84.77% (

-0.16)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.13)

30.07% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

0.16)

66.2% (

-0.17)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24% (

0.18)

42.76% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

0.15)

79.08% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Elche 44.19%

Real Oviedo 26.06%

Draw 29.73%

Elche	Draw	Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 15.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.73%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 26.06%