Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Burgos
48.59% ( 0.09)	27.79% ( -0.08)	23.61% ( -0)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.22% (

0.24)

61.77% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.43% (

0.18)

81.57% (

-0.18)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

0.16)

25.63% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

0.21)

60.53% (

-0.21)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

0.13)

42.43% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

0.11)

78.8% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Elche 48.58%

Burgos 23.61%

Draw 27.78%

Elche	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.61%