Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
1 - 1
Racing de Ferrol

Sanchez (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gelardo Vegara (45+1')
Rober (28'), Naldo (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Racing Club de Ferrol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Albacete 2-0 Burgos
Monday, October 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 0-0 Huesca
Sunday, October 20 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
45.03% (-0.121 -0.12)28.7% (0.197 0.2)26.27% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 42.65% (-0.535 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (-0.649 -0.65)63.09% (0.653 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (-0.473 -0.47)82.53% (0.476 0.48)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.374 -0.37)28.05% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.479 -0.48)63.7% (0.483 0.48)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-0.432 -0.43)40.73% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.391 -0.39)77.31% (0.395 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 45.03%
    Racing Club de Ferrol 26.27%
    Draw 28.69%
BurgosDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 14.52% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.03%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.42% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Burgos
2-0
Racing de Ferrol
Ojeda (14'), Gonzalez (39')

Bernal (23')
Nov 19, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Racing de Ferrol
1-1
Burgos
Gimenez (71')
Cubero (84')
Nino (90+6')
Atienza (45'), Munoz (48'), Matos (51'), Gonzalez (58'), Sancris (67')