Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.