Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Burgos
50.92% ( -0.78)	25.28% ( 0.32)	23.8% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-0.84)

52.81% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

-0.72)

74.43% (

0.72)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

-0.66)

20.75% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

-1.05)

53.38% (

1.04)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.04)

37.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.04)

73.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 50.91%

Burgos 23.8%

Draw 25.28%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.8%