Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Soto

Mostoles
2 - 5
Burgos

Javier Garcia Cuella (25'), Lopez Oviedo (70')
Navarro Sanchez (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gonzalez Ballesteros (32'), Arroyo (34'), Sancris (50'), Nino (51'), Miguel (66')
Rodriguez (21'), Morante (59')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Mostoles and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mostoles

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Burgos
Sunday, October 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Mostoles had a probability of 10.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.82%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Mostoles win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
MostolesDrawBurgos
10.74%19.23%70.04%
Both teams to score 41.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.56%
Mostoles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.83%52.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.88%86.12%
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03%12.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54%39.46%
Score Analysis
    Mostoles 10.74%
    Burgos 70.03%
    Draw 19.23%
MostolesDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 2.93%
2-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.74%
1-1 @ 8.99%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 2.99%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 19.23%
0-2 @ 14.11%
0-1 @ 13.82%
0-3 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 9.18%
1-3 @ 6.25%
0-4 @ 4.91%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 70.03%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!