Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
29.08% ( 0.01) | 25.51% ( -0) | 45.41% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% ( 0.01) | 50.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( 0.01) | 72.07% ( -0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( 0.01) | 31.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( 0.01) | 67.8% ( -0.01) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0) | 22.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% | 55.38% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |