Copa del Rey
Jan 3, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de A Malata
  • Aitor Bunuel 79' yellowcard
  • Naldo 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gimenez 90' goal
  • goal Alfonso Espino 8'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 32'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 38'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 48'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 59'
  • yellowcard Isi 83'

Racing Club de Ferrol vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result

Racing Club de Ferrol 20.29% (-0.70)
Draw 24.7% (+0.25)
Rayo Vallecano 55.01% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.1% (-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.9% (-1.73)
Under 2.5 54.1% (+1.73)
Over 3.5 24.48% (-1.47)
Under 3.5 75.52% (+1.47)
Over 4.5 11.03% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 88.97% (+0.94)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5 58.59% (-1.73)
Under 0.5 41.41% (+1.73)
Over 1.5 22.08% (-1.56)
Under 1.5 77.92% (+1.56)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 80.4% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 19.6% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 48.45% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 51.55% (+0.81)

Score analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 20.29%
Draw 24.7%
Rayo Vallecano 55%
Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 7.16% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 20.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.54)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.7%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 13.22% (+0.67)
0-2 @ 10.77% (+0.39)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 5.85% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.14)
0-4 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 55%