La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
2 - 1
Valladolid

Puado (31'), Fernandez (75')
El Hilali (45'), Olivan (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (57')
Juric (63'), Amallah (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Leganes
Saturday, January 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Real Valladolid
47.99% ( 0.39)	26.98% ( -0.12)	25.04% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88% (

0.25)

58.12% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22% (

0.2)

78.79% (

-0.19)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.29)

24.29% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.41)

58.66% (

-0.41)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

-0.1)

39.02% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

-0.09)

75.75% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 47.98%

Real Valladolid 25.04%

Draw 26.98%

Espanyol	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 25.04%