Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.