Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leganes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leganes.