Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.61%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Cartagena
57.41% ( 0.76)	26.2% ( -0.07)	16.38% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 37.43% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.46% (

-0.58)

63.54% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.14% (

-0.42)

82.86% (

0.42)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

0.07)

22.45% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

0.11)

55.99% (

-0.11)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.26% (

-1.26)

51.73% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.17% (

-0.85)

85.83% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Eibar 57.41%

Cartagena 16.39%

Draw 26.18%

Eibar	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 17.35% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.41%	0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.25) 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.33% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.39%