Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
4 - 1
Cartagena

Obinna Mamah (11'), Suero (14'), Marco Suner (50'), Cipenga (70')
Jimenez (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Roman (64')
Escriche (27'), Guerrero (37'), Kiko (37'), Alcala (45+1'), Alcala (46')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 0-0 Castellon
Sunday, December 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Monday, December 9 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
CastellonDrawCartagena
52.37% (-0.526 -0.53)25.95% (0.209 0.21)21.68% (0.321 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (-0.424 -0.42)57.17% (0.429 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.338 -0.34)78.03% (0.342 0.34)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)21.92% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (-0.607 -0.61)55.18% (0.611 0.61)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28% (0.085000000000001 0.09)41.72% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81% (0.074999999999999 0.07)78.19% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 52.36%
    Cartagena 21.68%
    Draw 25.94%
CastellonDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 13.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.36%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.68%

Head to Head
May 9, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 38
Cartagena
1-0
Castellon
Castro (55')
Fornies (32'), Aburjania (84')

Sene (41')
Nov 15, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Castellon
2-1
Cartagena
Diez (64', 76')
Sene (40'), Fidalgo (51'), Diaz (79'), Campos (90+2')
Castro (80')
Aguza (69'), Gil (90+1')