Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade de La Pincenardiere
PSG logo

Le Mans
0 - 2
PSG


Bernardeau (5'), Lauray (32'), Kimpembe (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doue (25'), Barcola (71')
Mayulu (45+2'), Ramos (87'), Kimpembe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Le Mans and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Mans 1-1 Valenciennes (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Le Mans had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Le Mans win it was 1-0 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Le MansDrawParis Saint-Germain
11.1% (0.852 0.85)17.68% (0.708 0.71)71.22% (-1.559 -1.56)
Both teams to score 47.8% (0.64 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12% (-0.813 -0.81)41.88% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.72% (-0.821 -0.82)64.28% (0.822 0.82)
Le Mans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.39% (1.068 1.07)46.61% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.81% (0.802 0.8)82.19% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.605 -0.61)10.47% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (-1.379 -1.38)34.11% (1.38 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Le Mans 11.1%
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.21%
    Draw 17.68%
Le MansDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 3.73% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 1.42% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.1%
1-1 @ 8.41% (0.336 0.34)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.68%
0-2 @ 12.42% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 9.35% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.27% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-4 @ 4.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.051 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.38% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 71.21%

How you voted: Le Mans vs PSG

Le Mans
20.7%
Draw
8.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
70.7%
58
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
Round of 16
Le Mans
1-4
PSG
Manzala (54')
Boe-Kane (16')
Sarabia (21'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (41'), Mbappe (42'), Di Maria (48')
Verratti (10'), Kouassi (70'), Paredes (78')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!