Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
4 - 2
Auxerre

Kehrer (35'), Biereth (57', 63', 65')
Zakaria (45+4'), Magassa (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Diomande (38'), Jubal (45+7' pen.)
Joly (30'), Owusu (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Monaco
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 St Etienne
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Auxerre
54.79% ( 0.96)	21.99% ( -0.11)	23.21% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 59.76% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.73% (

-0.42)

39.26% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.4% (

-0.44)

61.6% (

0.44)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

0.16)

14.31% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.86% (

0.32)

42.13% (

-0.32)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

-0.93)

30.26% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

-1.12)

66.43% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Monaco 54.8%

Auxerre 23.21%

Draw 21.99%

Monaco	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 23.21%