/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
-
Thilo Kehrer
35'
-
Denis Zakaria
45'+4'
-
Mika Biereth
57'
-
Mika Biereth
63'
-
Mika Biereth
65'
-
Soungoutou Magassa
82'
-
Paul Joly
30'
-
Sinaly Diomande
38'
-
Jubal
45'+7'
-
Elisha Owusu
71'
Monaco vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fmaghnes-akliouche.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result
Monaco
54.79%
▲
(+0.96)
Draw
21.99%
▼
(-0.12)
Auxerre
23.21%
▼
(-0.85)
Both Teams to Score:
59.76%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.73%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
39.26%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
38.4%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 3.5
61.6%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 4.5
20.87%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 4.5
79.13%
▲
(+0.35)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
85.68%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
14.31%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
57.86%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
42.13%
▼
(-0.33)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
69.74%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
30.26%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 1.5
33.57%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
66.43%
▲
(+1.12)
Score analysis
Monaco
54.8%
Draw
21.99%
Auxerre
23.21%
Monaco
2-1
@
9.78%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1% ▼ (-94.40)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.8%
1-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1% ▼ (-94.40)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.8%
Draw
1-1
@
10.06%
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.99%
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.99%
Auxerre
1-2
@
6.02%
▼
(-0.16)
0-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.21%