Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.