AJ Auxerre
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
0 - 1
Dunkerque


Raveloson (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bardeli (26')
Foungognan Sekongo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Auxerre and Dunkerque, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Lens
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Dunkerque

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-1 Caen
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawDunkerque
53.68% (0.243 0.24)23.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)22.81% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.09% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.205 -0.2)46.54% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.193 -0.19)68.82% (0.193 0.19)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.27% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)47.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (-0.325 -0.33)34.62% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.346 -0.35)71.35% (0.346 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 53.68%
    Dunkerque 22.81%
    Draw 23.5%
AuxerreDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Dunkerque
1-3
Auxerre
Yassine (20')
Castro (65')
Sinayoko (57'), Courtet (61' og.), Raveloson (71')
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Auxerre
0-1
Dunkerque

Pellenard (78')
Boissier (90+6')
Koumetio (38'), Bardeli (78'), Boissier (88')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Auxerre
1-0
Dunkerque
Perrin (88')
Pellenard (68'), Perrin (75')

Pierre (34'), Trichard (41')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Dunkerque
0-2
Auxerre

Dudouit (42')
Autret (54'), Sakhi (84')
Apr 24, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Auxerre
2-1
Dunkerque
Le Bihan (33', 55')
Toure (45+1')
Toure (84')
Tchokounte (2')
Gomis (53'), Boudaud (62'), Ba (89')