Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Andre Karman

Aubervilliers
0 - 2
Dunkerque


Harragu (8'), Carre (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Courtet (85'), Foungognan Sekongo (90+3')
Fernandez (45')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Aubervilliers and Dunkerque.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: ETC Anstaing Chereng 0-4 Aubervilliers
Sunday, November 17 at 1pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Dunkerque 1-0 Ajaccio
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Aubervilliers had a probability of 9.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.9%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for an Aubervilliers win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Dunkerque in this match.

Result
AubervilliersDrawDunkerque
9.7% (0.073 0.07)17.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.14% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.36% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (0.27 0.27)43.62% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (0.265 0.27)66.01% (-0.265 -0.27)
Aubervilliers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.54% (0.327 0.33)50.46% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.02% (0.224 0.22)84.98% (-0.223 -0.22)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)10.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.95% (0.125 0.13)34.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aubervilliers 9.7%
    Dunkerque 73.12%
    Draw 17.16%
AubervilliersDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.79% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.7%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.16%
0-2 @ 13.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 10.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.022 0.02)
0-6 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 73.12%