Ligue 2 | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut
AC Ajaccio

Dunkerque
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Bammou (34' pen.)
Tejan (90+1'), Skytta (90+5'), Raghouber (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Youssouf (21'), Santelli (35'), Chegra (90+6')
Huard (72')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Stade Béthunois 0-0 Dunkerque (0-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Les Herbiers 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, November 15 at 6pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunkerque in this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawAjaccio
44.59% (1.365 1.37)27.56% (0.489 0.49)27.85% (-1.855 -1.86)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-2.409 -2.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-2.576 -2.58)58.56% (2.575 2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88% (-2.051 -2.05)79.12% (2.051 2.05)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.477 -0.48)26.15% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (-0.644 -0.64)61.23% (0.645 0.64)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-2.834 -2.83)36.85% (2.833 2.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-2.939 -2.94)73.64% (2.94 2.94)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 44.58%
    Ajaccio 27.86%
    Draw 27.56%
DunkerqueDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.92% (1.05 1.05)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.595 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.58%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.903 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.463 -0.46)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.86%

How you voted: Dunkerque vs Ajaccio

Dunkerque
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Ajaccio
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dunkerque
2-0
Ajaccio
Bardeli (45'), Bah (52')
Anziani (19'), Yassine (22')

Jabol-Folcarelli (14'), Mangani (37'), Vidal (49')
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Ajaccio
2-2
Dunkerque
Hamed Toure (50'), Bayala (65')
Hamed Toure (28'), Bayala (59')
Hamed Toure (55')
Gnanduillet (19'), Boissier (52')
Gambor (34')
Apr 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 34
Ajaccio
2-1
Dunkerque
Courtet (3'), Marchetti (17')
Majouga (64')
Pierre (77'), Brahimi (90')
Nov 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Dunkerque
0-1
Ajaccio

Jason Kikonda (54'), Bruneel (90+2')
Cimignani (68')
Avinel (70'), Courtet (73')
Jan 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 21
Dunkerque
3-1
Ajaccio
Tchokounte (26', 87'), Romil (35')
Maraval (81'), Kerrouche (82')
Bayala (46')
Coutadeur (3')
Leroy (51')