Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francois Coty
  • Mathieu Chabert 38' yellowcard
  • Christopher Ibayi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Gauthier Hein 30'

Ajaccio vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
Guingamp 1 - 0 Ajaccio
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Abou Kante

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
Red Star 1 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cheikh Sabaly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.

Result

Ajaccio 34.11% (-1.16)
Draw 30.09% (+0.69)
Metz 35.8% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.87% (-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.58% (-2.23)
Under 2.5 65.41% (+2.23)
Over 3.5 15.82% (-1.58)
Under 3.5 84.18% (+1.58)
Over 4.5 6.05% (-0.84)
Under 4.5 93.95% (+0.84)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% (-1.99)
Under 0.5 35.87% (+1.99)
Over 1.5 27.35% (-2.10)
Under 1.5 72.65% (+2.10)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 65.28% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 34.71% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 28.56% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 71.44% (+0.94)

Score analysis

Ajaccio 34.1%
Draw 30.09%
Metz 35.79%
Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.76% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 34.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 12.45% (+0.99)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.28)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.09%
Metz
0-1 @ 13.17% (+0.75)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.97% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)
  • yellowcard Stopilla Sunzu 73'
Ligue 2
Jan 24, 2019 12.00am
Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
  • Mamadou Fofana 36' yellowcard
  • Habib Diallo 43' goal
  • Habib Diallo 71' goal
  • John Boye 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Niane 85' goal
  • yellowcard Johan Cavalli 32'
  • yellowcard Jerome Hergault 69'
  • goal Ghislain Gimbert 75'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Choplin 77'