Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
AC Ajaccio

Guingamp
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Ghrieb (90+2')
Sissoko (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Santelli (23')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 1-0 Guingamp
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 3-1 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 19 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guingamp in this match.

Result
GuingampDrawAjaccio
57.87% (0.146 0.15)24.02% (0.032 0.03)18.11% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.63% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)54.24% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.297 -0.3)75.63% (0.298 0.3)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)18.56% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.13 -0.13)49.82% (0.13 0.13)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.02% (-0.425 -0.42)43.97% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (-0.35 -0.35)80.1% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 57.86%
    Ajaccio 18.11%
    Draw 24.02%
GuingampDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 18.11%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Ajaccio
3-0
Guingamp
Ibayi (27' pen.), Hamed Toure (65', 76')
Chanot (45+1'), Ibayi (58'), Puch-Herrantz (85')

Manceau (74')
Siwe (90')
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Guingamp
3-0
Ajaccio
El Ouazzani (4', 32'), Guillaume (78')

Benhaim (10')
Feb 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Ajaccio
0-1
Guingamp

Pantaloni (12'), El Idrissy (90')
Courtet (10')
Livolant (66')
Livolant (29'), Ba (40'), Roux (57'), Sampaio (87'), Youfeigane (90+4')
Roux (84')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Guingamp
1-1
Ajaccio
Ba (70')
Gonzalez (39')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajaccio
0-2
Guingamp

Ismael (61'), Bayala (73'), Nouri (87')
Fofana (22'), Pierrot (78')
M'Changama (51'), Sampaio (53'), Ba (58')