Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
AC Ajaccio

Caen
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Brahimi (80')
Henry (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (42'), Soumano (85'), Strata (90+6')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 3-1 Caen
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Laval 1-1 Ajaccio
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.

Result
CaenDrawAjaccio
40.62% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)29.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)29.86% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.26% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.62% (0.011999999999997 0.01)83.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)31.08% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (0.062000000000005 0.06)38.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.062000000000001 0.06)75.14% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Caen 40.62%
    Ajaccio 29.86%
    Draw 29.5%
CaenDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 33
Ajaccio
2-1
Caen
Barreto (20'), Ibayi (45')
Barreto (21'), Sollacaro (90+4')
Mendy (90+5' pen.)
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Caen
3-0
Ajaccio
Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendy (65' pen.), Deminguet (90')
Vandermersch (80'), Lepenant (86')
Aug 25, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Ajaccio
2-0
Caen
Botue (1'), Gonzalez (75')
Courtet (53'), Kalulu (85')

Deminguet (53'), Lepenant (70')
Mendy (80')
Jan 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 20
Ajaccio
1-0
Caen
Moussiti-Oko (6')
Avinel (33')

Gioacchini (61')