Ligue 2 | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Paris
AC Ajaccio

Red Star
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Renel (3')
Kouagba (90'), Badji (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidal (90'), Sollacaro (90+2'), Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (90+1')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Red Star and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 0-0 Djoliba
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in CAF Champions League
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Rodez AF
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star in this match.

Result
Red StarDrawAjaccio
38.11% (0.224 0.22)27.61% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.29% (-0.256 -0.26)
Both teams to score 48.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.146 -0.15)56.86% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (-0.117 -0.12)77.79% (0.116 0.12)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.060999999999993 0.06)28.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.076999999999998 0.08)64.77% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-0.241 -0.24)31.27% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-0.281 -0.28)67.62% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Red Star 38.1%
    Ajaccio 34.28%
    Draw 27.61%
Red StarDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.28%

How you voted: Red Star vs Ajaccio

Red Star
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Ajaccio
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-0
Red Star
Tramoni (43'), Avinel (74'), Choplin (83')
Tomas (25'), Kiki (39'), Lefebvre (42'), Camara (48')
Oct 5, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 10
Red Star
2-0
Ajaccio
Teuma (28' pen.), Diallo (90')
Satli (6'), Derrien (75')

Avinel (24'), Lejeune (64')