AC Ajaccio
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
1 - 2
Bastia

Ibayi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maggiotti (11' pen.), Bianchini (24' pen.)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Ajaccio and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Real Union 1-1 Ajaccio
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Bastia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bastia 3-1 Annecy
Wednesday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawBastia
48.01% (0.197 0.2)28.08% (-0.278 -0.28)23.9% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.34% (0.738 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (0.90499999999999 0.9)62.51% (-0.907 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (0.656 0.66)82.11% (-0.658 -0.66)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.52 0.52)26.25% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.691 0.69)61.36% (-0.694 -0.69)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.42% (0.6 0.6)42.58% (-0.602 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (0.509 0.51)78.93% (-0.512 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 48%
    Bastia 23.9%
    Draw 28.07%
AjaccioDrawBastia
1-0 @ 14.94% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.17% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.45% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.9%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-0
Ajaccio
Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
> Match Report