Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Union win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Real Union	Draw	Ajaccio
40.03% ( -0.41)	26.68% ( -0.08)	33.28% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

0.42)

53.4% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

0.35)

74.94% (

-0.36)

Real Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.03)

26.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

-0.04)

61.25% (

0.03)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.53)

30.19% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.63)

66.34% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Real Union 40.03%

Ajaccio 33.28%

Draw 26.68%

Real Union	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.03%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.28%