Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Martigues
56.17% ( -0.04)	25.45% ( 0)	18.38% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.33% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.1% (

0.03)

58.89% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.02)

79.38% (

-0.03)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0)

21.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

-0)

53.83%

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.61% (

0.06)

46.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.98% (

0.05)

82.02% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 56.16%

Martigues 18.38%

Draw 25.44%

Ajaccio	Draw	Martigues
1-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.16%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.38%