Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 1
Paris FC

Alfarela (45+2' pen.)
Alfarela (75'), Santelli (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kolodziejczak (29')
Kolodziejczak (26')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-2 Bastia
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 2-1 Guingamp
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawParis FC
30.36% (-0.598 -0.6)27.72% (0.081 0.08)41.92% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.48 -0.48)58.12% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.379 -0.38)78.79% (0.377 0.38)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.697 -0.7)34.66% (0.69499999999999 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.743 -0.74)71.39% (0.742 0.74)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.35% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (0.069000000000003 0.07)62.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 30.36%
    Paris FC 41.91%
    Draw 27.72%
BastiaDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 12.29% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.91%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Kebbal (45+3' pen.)
Mandouki (34')

Okou (45+1')
Traore (89')
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Paris FC
0-1
Bastia
Magri (66')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Bastia
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (34')
Apr 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Bastia
2-1
Paris FC
Guidi (15', 45+1')
Sainati (39')
Name (80')
O (55'), Guilavogui (69')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Name (89' pen.)
Kante (55')

Vincent (34'), Guidi (58')