Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.