Ligue 2 | Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Caen

Pau
1 - 0
Caen

Boutaib (8')
Gaspar (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kyeremeh (90+5'), Vandermersch (90+7')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Clermont 2-2 Pau
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 0-2 Paris FC
Saturday, August 17 at 1.30pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.

Result
PauDrawCaen
38.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.61% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (-0.117 -0.12)52.93% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)74.53% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)26.53% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)61.73% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.23% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)65.18% (0.083000000000013 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Pau 38.97%
    Caen 34.41%
    Draw 26.61%
PauDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: Pau vs Caen

Pau
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
Caen
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 27
Pau
2-3
Caen
Boli (77'), Ngom (90+1')
Ahoussou (65'), Gaspar (90+8')
Mendy (31'), Kyeremeh (69'), Salama (85')
Daubin (61')
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
2-0
Pau
Daubin (38'), Mendy (45+3' pen.)

Kante (36')
Kante (58')
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Pau
1-0
Caen
George (31')
D'Almeida (35')
D'Almeida (76')

Thomas (35'), Sylla (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caen
1-1
Pau
Abdi (23')
Saivet (7')
Feb 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
Pau
1-0
Caen
Koffi (59')
Daubin (54')

Lepenant (69'), Oniangue (73'), Deminguet (78'), Abdi (90')