Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.