Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 0-1 (5.61%).