Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
0 - 2
Paris FC


Lebreton (28'), Meddah (64'), Gaucho Debohi (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gory (76'), Kebbal (86' pen.)
Gory (83')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 3-1 Versailles
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Paris FC

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 1-1 Ajaccio
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawParis FC
31.26% (0.247 0.25)27.05% (0.118 0.12)41.68% (-0.366 -0.37)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (-0.38 -0.38)55.37% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (-0.313 -0.31)76.57% (0.312 0.31)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)69.1% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.366 -0.37)26.19% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (-0.493 -0.49)61.28% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Caen 31.26%
    Paris FC 41.68%
    Draw 27.05%
CaenDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.26%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.68%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Caen
0-1
Paris FC
Ollila (85')
Hamel (67'), Marchetti (89')
Aug 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Paris FC
0-2
Caen

Gaudin (2')
Gaudin (33')
Mendy (45+3'), Abdi (62')
Daubin (29'), Vandermersch (52')
Apr 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Caen
3-1
Paris FC
Mendy (16'), Chergui (45' og.), Kyeremeh (75')
Ntim (81' og.)
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Paris FC
1-1
Caen
Lopez (87')
Karamoko (43'), Chergui (75'), Name (90+3')
Thomas (44')
Teikeu (53'), Mohamed (86')
Apr 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 34
Paris FC
1-0
Caen
Name (26')
Caddy (15'), Mandouki (42')

Sy (58'), Mendy (74'), Diani (90')