Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Caen	Draw	Guingamp
37.53% ( 0.1)	28.26% ( -0.12)	34.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.73% (

0.43)

59.27% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

0.33)

79.68% (

-0.33)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57% (

0.27)

30.43% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37% (

0.32)

66.63% (

-0.32)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

0.23)

32.54% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

0.26)

69.07% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Caen 37.53%

Guingamp 34.21%

Draw 28.25%

Caen	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.53%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.21%