Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Troyes
40.9% ( -0)	29.97% ( -0)	29.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.16% (

65.84% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.53% (

84.47% (

-0)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27% (

-0)

31.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

-0)

68.15% (

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.13% (

39.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.47% (

76.53% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 40.9%

Troyes 29.13%

Draw 29.96%

Ajaccio	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 14.52% 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.67% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.96%	0-1 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.41% Total : 29.13%