Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Martigues
56.05% ( -1.05)	26.2% ( 0.11)	17.74% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 39.55% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.98% (

0.72)

62.02% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.24% (

0.53)

81.75% (

-0.53)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.14)

22.38% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.2)

55.89% (

0.2)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

1.65)

49.05% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

1.14)

83.99% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 56.04%

Martigues 17.74%

Draw 26.19%

Ajaccio	Draw	Martigues
1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.56% Total : 56.04%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.74%