Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.