Ligue 2 | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Francis Turcan

Martigues
0 - 1
Bastia


Laurey (0'), Solvet (41'), Zouaoui (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (50', 50')
Ducrocq (42'), Loic Onana Etoga (75')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Martigues and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Martigues

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 2-4 Martigues
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Amiens
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
MartiguesDrawBastia
36.24% (-0.401 -0.4)27.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)35.95% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44% (-0.172 -0.17)57.56% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (-0.137 -0.14)78.34% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Martigues Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (-0.333 -0.33)30.37% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)66.56% (0.398 0.4)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.136 0.14)30.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.162 0.16)66.78% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Martigues 36.23%
    Bastia 35.94%
    Draw 27.82%
MartiguesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.23%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 11% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.94%