Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Martigues
50.51% ( -0.33)	26.79% ( 0.13)	22.7% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 44.43% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81% (

-0.27)

59.19% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38% (

-0.21)

79.61% (

0.21)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.27)

23.59% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

-0.39)

57.66% (

0.38)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.15% (

0.04)

41.84% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7% (

0.04)

78.29% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Metz 50.5%

Martigues 22.7%

Draw 26.79%

Metz	Draw	Martigues
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.5%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.7%