Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 43%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.