Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Caen

Guingamp
3 - 1
Caen

Siwe (6'), Picard (67'), Luvambo (78')
Hemia (29'), Siwe (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendy (51')
Henry (33'), M'Vila (47'), Gaucho Debohi (54')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 2-0 Guingamp
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-1 Amiens
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
GuingampDrawCaen
46.33% (-0.77399999999999 -0.77)26.18% (0.151 0.15)27.48% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.205 -0.2)53.68% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.174 -0.17)75.17% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)23.13% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (-0.657 -0.66)57% (0.659 0.66)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (0.395 0.39)34.52% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (0.417 0.42)71.23% (-0.413 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 46.32%
    Caen 27.48%
    Draw 26.18%
GuingampDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27.48%

How you voted: Guingamp vs Caen

Guingamp
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Caen
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-0
Caen
Gomis (4')
Sivis (63'), Lobry (89')

Abdi (48'), Daubin (68'), Lebreton (89')
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Caen
0-1
Guingamp

Thomas (90+4')
Sagna (77')
Gomis (79'), Sidibe (89')
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-2
Caen
El Ouazzani (54')
Court (19'), Kyeremeh (42')
Aug 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Caen
4-1
Guingamp
Ntim (18'), Mendy (19'), Essende (52'), Jeannot (76' pen.)
Brahimi (49'), Mandrea (66'), Thomas (66')
Barthelme (6')
Quemper (12'), Livolant (66'), Cathline (66'), Diarra (78')
Diarra (79')
rhs 2.0


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