Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star in this match.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Metz
38.87% ( 0.14)	25.78% ( 0.01)	35.34% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

-0.06)

49.3% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

-0.06)

71.35% (

0.05)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.05)

24.92% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.06)

59.54% (

-0.07)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

-0.12)

26.9% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.77% (

-0.15)

62.22% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Red Star 38.87%

Metz 35.34%

Draw 25.78%

Red Star	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.87%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.34%