Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Red Star win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.