Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Red Star win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Paris FC
34.04% ( 0.06)	27.21% ( 0.35)	38.75% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62% (

-1.39)

55.37% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

-1.15)

76.58% (

1.15)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-0.65)

30.68% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

-0.78)

66.93% (

0.78)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.89)

27.81% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-1.15)

63.4% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Red Star 34.04%

Paris FC 38.74%

Draw 27.21%

Red Star	Draw	Paris FC
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.74%