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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Red Star

Katseris (12'), Soumano (77' pen.)
Abergel (79'), Abergel (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ifnaoui (47')
Benali (43'), Poirier (44'), Benali (45+17')
Mbock (88')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Red Star.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Amiens 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 31 at 1.30pm in Ligue 2

Red Star

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 3-4 Red Star
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawRed Star
50.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)24.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.34% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.03% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)36.36% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 50.27%
    Red Star 24.43%
    Draw 25.3%
LorientDrawRed Star
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Lorient vs Red Star

Lorient
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Red Star
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
2-1
Red Star
Hamel (11'), Lemoine (27')
Camara (83')
Derrien (43')
Feb 14, 2019
12am
Lorient  
vs.
  Red Star
Sep 14, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 7
Red Star
0-3
Lorient

Berthier (57'), Satli (75'), Mhirsi (90')
Hamel (33'), Claude Maurice (44'), Wissa (90')
Sep 13, 2018
1am
Red Star  
vs.
  Lorient