Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
2 - 1
Paris FC

Boutrah (21'), Cisse (35')
Vincent (33'), Maggiotti (45+4'), Tramoni (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Camara (10')
Krasso (28'), Lopez (45+4'), Lopez (77')
Marchetti (45+7'), Krasso (62')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Troyes
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 1-2 Metz
Saturday, September 14 at 1.30pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawParis FC
30.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)29.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.95% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)63.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)82.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (0.015999999999998 0.02)37.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)74.15% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.13% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)67.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 30.69%
    Paris FC 39.94%
    Draw 29.35%
BastiaDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 13.57%
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.94%

How you voted: Bastia vs Paris FC

Bastia
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Paris FC
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Bastia
1-1
Paris FC
Alfarela (45+2' pen.)
Alfarela (75'), Santelli (78')
Kolodziejczak (29')
Kolodziejczak (26')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Kebbal (45+3' pen.)
Mandouki (34')

Okou (45+1')
Traore (89')
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Paris FC
0-1
Bastia
Magri (66')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Bastia
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (34')
Apr 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Bastia
2-1
Paris FC
Guidi (15', 45+1')
Sainati (39')
Name (80')
O (55'), Guilavogui (69')