Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Caen
39.73% ( -0.12)	25.82% ( 0.04)	34.45% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-0.16)

49.6% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

-0.15)

71.62% (

0.14)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-0.14)

24.6% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

-0.19)

59.1% (

0.19)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

-0.03)

27.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-0.04)

63.11% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Red Star 39.73%

Caen 34.45%

Draw 25.82%

Red Star	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.73%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.45%