Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Lorient logo

Caen
1 - 2
Lorient

Gomis (17')
Gaucho Debohi (38'), Lecoeuche (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Junior Kroupi (35'), Bamba (87')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Guingamp 3-1 Caen
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
CaenDrawLorient
41.91% (0.276 0.28)26.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)31.54% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)53.34% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)74.88% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.11 0.11)25.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.155 0.16)59.87% (-0.156 -0.16)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.224 -0.22)31.33% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.261 -0.26)67.69% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Caen 41.9%
    Lorient 31.54%
    Draw 26.55%
CaenDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.54%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lorient
2-1
Caen
Hamel (6'), Wissa (69')
Abergel (49'), Wissa (90')
Pi (16' pen.)
Vandermersch (72')
Weber (42')
Aug 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
1-2
Lorient
Deminguet (91')
Pi (26'), Goncalves (26'), Armougom (32'), Gradit (65')
Wissa (22'), Hamel (33')
Saunier (47'), Hamel (93')
Oct 24, 2017 5.45pm
Third Round
Lorient
0-1
Caen
Kouakou (43')
Guilbert (28'), Peeters (38'), Kouakou (69'), Diomande (78')
Apr 2, 2017 4pm
Lorient
1-0
Caen
Moukandjo (29')
Ciani (55')
Bellugou (49')

Yahia (70')
Da Silva (81')
Aug 13, 2016 7pm
Caen
3-2
Lorient
Rodelin (32'), Santini (43', 87')
Yahia (87')
Moukandjo (5', 19')
Le Goff (22'), Selemanie (86')
Toure (26')