Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.