Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8

Oct 4, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque
2 - 1
Troyes

Sangante (53'), Bammou (64')
Castro (46'), Georgen (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Said (43')
Said (45+3'), Kante (69')
Kante (81')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Troyes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions

Last Game: Martigues 1-1 Dunkerque
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-1 Metz
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.

Result
Dunkerque	Draw	Troyes
40.04% ( 0.1)	27.86% ( 0.17)	32.09% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.83% (

-0.7)

58.17% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.18% (

-0.55)

78.82% (

0.55)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-0.28)

28.41% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

-0.35)

64.16% (

0.34)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-0.56)

33.43% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-0.61)

70.05% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Dunkerque 40.04%

Troyes 32.09%

Draw 27.86%

Dunkerque	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.09%