Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque
3 - 2
Pau

Skytta (21'), Bammou (42'), Sasso (52')
Yassine (33'), Rivera (45+3'), Foungognan Sekongo (83'), Courtet (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bobichon (39'), Diawara (75')
Usai (34'), Mboup (44'), Koudou (45+1'), Gaspar (51'), Ruiz (80'), Ahoussou (90+7')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Dunkerque
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 3-0 Martigues
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawPau
37.31% (0.080000000000005 0.08)27.11% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)35.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (0.154 0.15)54.85% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (0.125 0.13)76.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (0.121 0.12)28.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (0.152 0.15)64.14% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.051000000000002 0.05)29.44% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.063000000000002 0.06)65.44% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 37.31%
    Pau 35.57%
    Draw 27.11%
DunkerqueDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: Dunkerque vs Pau

Dunkerque
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Pau
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Dunkerque
1-0
Pau
Baghdadi (79')
Bilingi (58')

Saivet (38'), Boto (87')
Dec 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Pau
1-1
Dunkerque
Saivet (5')
Obiang (21'), Kante (49')
Baghdadi (50' pen.)
Laaziri (85'), Anziani (90+3')
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Dunkerque
1-0
Pau
Tchokounte (31')

Koffi (45+1'), Lobry (55'), Daubin (64'), Naidji (90'), Batisse (90+4')
Sep 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Pau
1-2
Dunkerque
Essende (67')
Batisse (45+3'), Koffi (53')
Batisse (72')
Brahimi (22'), Tchokounte (40')
Vachoux (33'), Rocheteau (48'), Brahimi (65')
Ba (31')
Mar 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Pau
3-1
Dunkerque
Lobry (49' pen.), Ketkeophomphone (76' og.), Batisse (83')
Ketkeophomphone (90')
Kerrouche (31')