Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut
Dunkerque3 - 2Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Pau.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunkerque | Draw | Pau |
37.31% ( 0.08) | 27.11% ( -0.04) | 35.57% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.15) | 54.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( 0.13) | 76.14% ( -0.12) |
| Dunkerque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( 0.12) | 28.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0.15) | 64.14% ( -0.15) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.05) | 29.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.56% ( 0.06) | 65.44% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Dunkerque 37.31%
Pau 35.57%
Draw 27.11%
| Dunkerque | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.31% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.57% |
How you voted: Dunkerque vs Pau
Dunkerque
40.0%Draw
20.0%Pau
40.0%5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Dec 2, 2023 6pm
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Sep 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Pau
1-2
Dunkerque
Mar 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Pau
3-1
Dunkerque
Lobry (49' pen.), Ketkeophomphone (76' og.), Batisse (83')
Ketkeophomphone (90')
Kerrouche (31')
Kerrouche (31')
