Ligue 2 | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque
2 - 1
Bastia

Bammou (65' pen.), Foungognan Sekongo (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boutrah (36')
Jose Guevara Possu (44'), Loic Onana Etoga (60')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-2 Pau
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 2-1 Paris FC
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawBastia
39.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)28.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (-0.07 -0.07)59.38% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24% (-0.055 -0.05)79.76% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)29.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.56% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)33.65% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.124 -0.12)70.3% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 39.09%
    Bastia 32.67%
    Draw 28.23%
DunkerqueDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.94% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.67%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Bastia
1-1
Dunkerque
Bianchini (9')
Vincent (51'), Keita (78')
Fernandez (80')
Bardeli (45+4')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dunkerque
0-5
Bastia

Bilingi (35'), Laaziri (59'), Sangante (76')
Okou (2'), Alfarela (13', 68', 90+2'), Tomi (89' pen.)
Brouard (36'), Bohnert (45+2')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Bastia
1-0
Dunkerque
Talal (21')
Guidi (14'), Palun (58'), Roncaglia (90+2'), Santelli (90+3')

Ba (2')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Dunkerque
2-0
Bastia
Tchokounte (58', 86')
Tchokounte (33')

Quemper (21')